The One About… Covid by the Numbers, Day 16

Tonight’s Covid-19 update:

As of 7 p.m., the John Hopkins website reports 335,524 cases in the U.S. That is an increase of 26,991, down from yesterday’s increase of 34,653. The daily rate of increase was 8.7%, a definite downtick from yesterday’s 12.7%. The day over day change was -22.1% – basically, there were a quarter fewer cases today than Saturday. If that continues, if we start seeing decreasing numbers, this would be a sign we’ve reached a peak.

The morbidity rate of Covid-19 in the U.S. ticked up again and is now 2.8%.

To put these in perspective:
Odds of contracting Covid-19: 1 in 971. Yes, that has dropped below 1 in 1000 for the first time.
Odds if infected of recovery: 1 in 19
Odds if infected of fatality: 1 in 35

We had another increase in the number of recovered cases. It now stands at 17,266, an 18.9% increase from yesterday. Another sign of a change in the progression of this disease is when we see more cases recovered than newly reported as infected. We’re still a ways off.

One caveat: A story in today’s Washington Post states that the number of fatalities is almost certainly underreported.

As always, be safe, be smart, and most of all, be kind to yourself and others.

About D. G. Speirs

D.G. Speirs is a storyteller, novelist and voice actor living in Florida. He keeps searching for better stories to tell, even if he has to make them up himself. His latest novel, THE AGENCY, is now available on
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